A year after Amazon opened its first cashier-less store, startups and retailers are racing to get similar technology in stores throughout the world, letting shoppers buy groceries without waiting in line.
If they work, cashier-less stores will not only save time but maybe money too. From cameras and sensors, the stores will know when shoppers pick up a product and put it down, and can send them a discount to tempt them to buy it. Merchants will receive more insights into how people shop. They can create more space for merchandise, better track when shelves need replenishing and draw more business from the hordes of customers who detest long lines.
But the monitoring system underlying cashier-less technology is bound to raise new privacy issues and worries about customer data falling into the wrong hands, especially if stores deploy facial recognition software in the omnipresent cameras watching shoppers.
“It could be scary, and it could be creepy,” says Peter Trepp, the CEO of an LA-based company that so far has only sold its facial recognition tools to retailers trying to identify shoplifters and other criminals. “But if it’s used to give people a 30% coupon on something they want that is going to be a nice benefit. That kind of experience will help people embrace the technology.”
Amazon has a head start in the U.S, opening 10 convenience stores in three cities: Chicago, San Francisco, and Seattle. The stores sell salads and sandwiches for lunch, everyday items such as toilet paper and Advil, and groceries such as Cheerios and raw ground beef.
Shoppers scan an app to enter the Amazon Go store, grab what they want, and walk out. Cameras and sensors on the ceiling track what’s taken so their credit or debit cards are automatically charged when they leave. Shoppers will know how long it took to shop since Amazon sends an alert with their shopping time.
A consumer who runs a technology startup said it reminded him of the first time he rode an Uber. “You just know it’s going to be the future,” he said.
Amazon doesn’t say how much money its cashier-less stores make. But analysts from RBC Capital Markets recently visited Amazon Go’s two San Francisco stores to come up with a number. Based on their observations of traffic patterns, they estimated about 400 to 700 customers per day will visit each of the roughly 2,000-sq.-ft. Amazon Go stores, generating sales of $1.1 million to $2 million annually, assuming an average purchase of $10. At the high end of that range, it works out to twice the sales of a typical U.S convenience store, RBC calculated.
Catching-up surrounding the idea
Several startups are pitching the technology to retailers who want to create Amazon Go-like stores of their own. One of the companies, called AiFi, said it had signed deals with the Carrefour chain in France and Zabka convenience stores in Poland. Others, including Zippin, Grabandgo, Trigo Vision, and Tokyo, said they were negotiating deals with retailers in the U.S and other parts of the world, though none were ready to identify them yet.
“Once a few big retail chains begin to deploy this technology, it’s going to snowball and we will see more and more of them doing it,” says Michael Suswai, co-founder of Standard Cognition, another cashier-less technology startup.
So far, companies working on the technology are finding ways to do without facial recognition. Their systems rely on cameras for identifying objects rather than people.
Amazon appears the most likely to make cashier-less stores a more common sight, partly because it can afford to open stores with the technology already built into them, given its current market value of about $800 billion, ranking among the most valuable companies in the world.
But the country’s biggest retailers are also trying to speed up the shopping process. Sam’s Club, the warehouse-style club owned by Walmart, opened a test store that has no cashiers. Instead, shoppers use their smartphones to scan products and pay. 7-Eleven is testing something similar at 14 stores in Dallas.
As cashier-less stores become more common, there will likely be more political pressure to ensure they still offer an option to pay by cash to avoid discriminating against lower-income consumers without bank accounts and credit cards. In anticipation of that likelihood, Standard Cognition already has set up a separate kiosk for all-cash purchases in its test store.
RBC said it believed Amazon would eventually introduce its cashier-less technology in its Whole Foods supermarkets, though Amazon said it had no plans to do so. For now, Amazon seems to have its eye on smaller stores: Late last year it introduced a 450-square-foot version of Amazon Go that can be plopped into office buildings or hospitals.
We can assume a possibility that within five years, just about everyone will have experienced what autonomous checkout is. And within 10 years, regular checkout stands might be very rare.